Recent U.S. Assessment Found an Attack on Iran Unlikely to Result in Regime Change

Intelligence officials have been skeptical that a popular uprising could dislodge the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, which controls much of Iran’s security apparatus.

source https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/world/middleeast/a-us-intelligence-assessment-in-february-found-that-an-attack-on-iran-was-unlikely-to-result-in-regime-change.html